eOption https://www.eoption.com Wed, 10 Sep 2025 14:01:13 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8 https://www.eoption.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/cropped-apple-touch-icon-Small@3x-32x32.png eOption https://www.eoption.com 32 32 Daily Commentary: September 10, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/daily-commentary-september-10-2025/ Wed, 10 Sep 2025 14:01:13 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/?p=25502 Full Steam Ahead – New Market High Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 10 www.oneoption.com Oracle provided incredible guidance three years out and the PPI dropped .1%. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – Last month PPI came in hot and there was a chance that it could remain elevated. That would have provided a headwind for the Fed, but they’ve stated ... Read More

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Full Steam Ahead – New Market High

Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 10
www.oneoption.com

Oracle provided incredible guidance three years out and the PPI dropped .1%.

PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – Last month PPI came in hot and there was a chance that it could remain elevated. That would have provided a headwind for the Fed, but they’ve stated that any tariff related price increases should be temporary. The PPI dropped to -.1% and that is consistent with that theory. This should pave the way for a rate cut next week and another rate cut this year.

Yesterday the BLS cut 910K jobs from their estimates from April 2024 – March 2025. That is the largest downward revision since the 2009 financial crisis. Employment has been much weaker than reported and we’ve seen big downward revisions this summer. This has the Fed’s attention and job growth is a much greater concern than inflation. Central banks around the globe were ahead of this curve and they have been easing for a year.

The ECB started cutting rates in 2024 and they have cut rates five times this year. They are not expected to cut rates tomorrow.

The FOMC Statement is a week from today. A 25 basis point rate cut is priced into the Fed Fund Futures and there is a small chance that the Fed will cut by 50 basis points. Is a bigger rate cut better? Not necessarily. There have been times when the market views that as an act of desperation and that they waited too long or that conditions are deteriorating rapidly. A 25 basis point rate cut and a lean towards another rate cut this year would be more market friendly in my opinion.

ORCL reported that they see cloud infrastructure revenue climbing from $18 billion dollars now to $144 billion in 4 years. The stock is up 30% overnight and it is very unusual to see mega cap tech stocks make moves of that magnitude. That is sparking a big overnight move higher.

Yesterday the market rallied late in the day ahead of a potential speed bump. That is fairly unusual and we saw the same type of price action last Thursday ahead of the jobs report. That is a sign of aggressive buying and a sense that no matter how bad the number is, the market is heading higher.

The CPI will be released tomorrow and the hot PPI last month could show up in consumer prices. After today’s drop in PPI, any spike in CPI will be viewed as temporary.

Overseas markets were up marginally, but the S&P 500 is well above the all-time high. There’s nothing to stand in the way of this freight train this week. Tech stocks will be very strong today. I don’t chase gaps up to a new all-time high. Given the overnight news, this move could gain traction early. Any compression or dip will be short-lived. I would spend the first 30 minutes looking for RS. Stocks that have not made huge gaps up will be your best bets. They have plenty of upside and they will grind higher. Stocks that stage big early moves will quickly exhaust any remaining upside potential. If you want to trade them, you have to wait for a nice pullback.

I’m not expecting a big gap reversal today. While we watch early in the day we can look for any long red candles. That would be a sign that there is some selling pressure and that we don’t have to rush. Last Friday the market gapped up on a dismal jobs report and it reversed. Today the news is quite good so don’t expect that same reaction. It is critically important to put news into its proper context.

Support is the previous all-time high and resistance is… ?

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Morning Preview: September 10, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/morning-preview-september-10-2025/ Wed, 10 Sep 2025 10:47:45 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/morning-preview-september-10-2025/ Early Look Wednesday, September 10, 2025 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -63.00 0.13% 45,696 S&P 500 17.25 0.26% 6,539 Nasdaq 49.50 0.21% 23,923     U.S. futures are looking slightly higher, coming into a key inflation data reading with several macro developments overnight. First, Oracle (ORCL) reported quarterly results that were in-line to slightly lower, but comments that they signed ... Read More

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Early Look

Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Futures

Up/Down

%

Last

Dow

-63.00

0.13%

45,696

S&P 500

17.25

0.26%

6,539

Nasdaq

49.50

0.21%

23,923

 

 

U.S. futures are looking slightly higher, coming into a key inflation data reading with several macro developments overnight. First, Oracle (ORCL) reported quarterly results that were in-line to slightly lower, but comments that they signed four multi-billion-dollar contracts with three different customers in Q1 which resulted in RPO contract backlog increasing 359% to $455B and sees its RPO likely exceed $500B sent shares up over 30%. Second, President Trump has asked the EU to impose 100% tariffs on India and China to pressure Russia over its war in Ukraine, the Financial Times reported. Third, Trump announced plans to crack down on pharmaceutical advertising on television and social media platforms that could disrupt billions of dollars in annual ad spending. Also, news in the IPO market as Klarna (KLAR) 34.31M share IPO priced at $40.00, above the $35.00-$37.00 expected target range. The first of 2 inflation data readings this week kicks off at 8:30 am et with the August Producer Price Index (PPI) headline M/M for Aug est. +0.3% (prior +0.9%) and Y/Y for Aug…est. +3.3% (prior +3.3%). The core PPI (ex: food & energy) M/M for Aug is est. +0.3% (prior +0.9%) and Y/Y for Aug…est. +3.5% (prior +3.7%). The consumer prices (CPI) data is expected tomorrow at 8:30 am et. As for Tuesday, stocks racked up more record highs after the worst-ever preliminary benchmark payroll revision set the tone for next week’s Fed meeting and the scope of easing through the end of 2025. Gold rose past $3,600 to its 31st record of the year before turning negative just before the end of the session. Equities drew support from rate-cut wagers. Yields rose across the curve, halting a four-day slide ahead of the week’s inflation data. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index advanced 378 points to 43,837, the Shanghai Index edged higher 4 points to 3,812, and the Hang Seng Index jumped 262 points to 26,200. In Europe, the German DAX is up 21 points to 23,739, while the FTSE 100 is up 18 points to 9,260.

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

  • The S&P 500 Index climbed 17.52 points, or 0.27%, to 6,512.67
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 196.64 points, or 0.43%, to 45,711.59
  • The Nasdaq Composite gained 80.79 points, or 0.37%, to 21,879.49
  • The Russell 2000 Index declined -13.07 points, or 0.55% to 2,381.83

Economic Calendar for Today

  • 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data
  • 8:30 AM ET                  Producer Price Index (PPI) headline M/M for Aug…est. +0.3% (prior +0.9%)
  • 8:30 AM ET                  Producer Price Index (PPI) headline Y/Y for Aug…est. +3.3% (prior +3.3%)
  • 8:30 AM ET                  Core PPI (ex: food & energy) M/M for Aug…est. +0.3% (prior +0.9%)
  • 8:30 AM ET                  Core PPI (ex: food & energy) Y/Y for Aug…est. +3.5% (prior +3.7%)
  • 10:00 AM ET                Wholesale Inventory M/M for July…est. +0.2%
  • 10:30 AM ET                Weekly DOE Inventory Data
  • 1:00 PM ET US Treasury to sell $42B in 10-year notes

Earnings Calendar:

  • Earnings Before the Open: AMBR CHWY DAKT TEN
  • Earnings After the Close: CULP LSAK OXM VNCE

Other Key Events:

  • Bank America 2025 Global Real Estate Conference, 9/9-9/11
  • Barclays 23rd Annual Global Financial Services Conference, 9/8-9/10 in New York
  • B Riley 8th Annual Consumer & TMT Conference, 9/10, in New York
  • Deutsche Bank Healthcare Summit, 9/10-9/11, in New York
  • Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference, 9/8-9/11, in San Francisco, CA
  • Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference, 9/8-9/10
  • Morgan Stanley Latin America Conference, 9/8-9/10
  • Morgan Stanley European Utilities and Energy Summit, 9/9-9/11
  • Morgan Stanley Laguana Conference, 9/10-9/12
  • Piper 4th Annual Growth Frontiers Conference, 9/9-9/11, in Nashville, TN
  • Roth Capital 12th Annual Solar & Storage Symposium, 9/8-9/10, in Las Vegas
  • Wolfe Research Tech Conference, 9/8-9/11

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

Nymex

0.52

63.15

Brent

0.50

66.89

Gold

11.50

3,693.70

EUR/USD

-0.0012

1.1694

JPY/USD

0.04

147.45

10-Year Note

+0.019

4.093%

 

World News

  • President Trump has asked the EU to impose 100% tariffs on India and China to pressure Russia over its war in Ukraine, the Financial Times reported. Trump made the request in a call with senior US and EU officials in Washington. A US official said they would “mirror” any tariffs imposed by the EU on China and India.
  • A judge temporarily blocked President Donald Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, allowing her to remain on the job as she challenges the president’s efforts to oust her over allegations of mortgage fraud.
  • China August Consumer prices (CPI) fall (-0.4%) y/y vs. est. (-0.2%) while China August Producer prices fall (-2.9%) y/y in-line with consensus.

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

  • Calavo Growers (CVGW) Q3 adj EPS $0.57 vs. est. $0.59 on revs $178.8M vs. est. $195.5M; Fresh segment sales fell -5% y/y to $155.9M while prepared segment sales rose 40% y/y to $22.9M.
  • GameStop (GME) Q2 adj EPS $0.25 vs est. $0.16 on sales $972.2Mm vs est. $823.25Mm; announces dividend of warrants to shareholders.
  • Land’s End (LE) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.03) on revs $294.1Mm; sees Q3 revs $320-350Mm and adj EPS $0.10-0.22 vs est. $0.10; sees FY revs $1.33-1.4B vs est. $1.367B and adj EPS $0.62-0.88 vs est. $0.71.
  • Limoneira (LMNR) Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.02) on revs down -25% y/y to $47.47M; Q3 Agribusiness revenues were $45.9M, down from $61.8M y/y; Approximately 5,654,000 pounds of avocados were sold in aggregate during the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 at a $1.50 average price per pound, compared to approximately 8,855,000 pounds sold at a $1.57 y/y.
  • NIO Inc. (NIO) proposes to offer about 181.8M Class A ordinary shares.

Energy, Industrials and Materials

  • AeroVironment (AVAV) Q1 adj EPS $0.32 vs. est. $0.37; Q1 revs rose 140% y/y to $454.7M vs. est. $436.94M; raises FY26 EPS view to $3.60-$3.70 from $2.80-$3.00 (est. $3.44); backs FY26 revenue view $1.9B-$2B vs. est. $1.99B; said Q1 funded backlog was $1.1B.
  • A-Mark Precious Metals (AMRK) Q4 EPS $0.41 vs est. $0.44, adj EBITDA $29.2Mm vs est. $24.84Mm on revs $2.51B vs est. $2.908B, gr mgn 3.25%.
  • Astronics (ATRO) announces $210M convertible senior notes offering
  • Matrix Service (MTRX) Q4 adj EPS loss (-$0.28) on revs rose 14% y/y to $216.38M but below est. $232.25M and guides FY26 revenue $875M-$925M, below consensus $945.47M; reports backlog of $1.4B, with project awards totaling $186.3M.
  • Methode Electronics (MEI) Q1 adj EPS ($0.22) vs est. ($0.25) on sales $240.5Mm vs est. $226.03Mm; affirms FY guidance.

Financials

  • Cohen & Steers (CNS) preliminary assets under management of $90.4B as of August 31, 2025, an increase of $1.8B from assets under management of $88.6B at July 31, 2025. The increase was due to market appreciation of $1.8B and net inflows of $104M, partially offset by distributions of $151M.
  • Klarna (KLAR) 34.31M share IPO priced at $40.00, above the $35.00-$37.00 expected target range.

Healthcare

  • Amylyx (AMLX) 17.5M share Spot Secondary priced at $10.00.
  • Dianthus (DNTH) 6.49M share Secondary priced $33.00.
  • Greenwich LifeSciences (GLSI) said its breast cancer therapy, GLSI-100, got U.S. FDA’s “fast track” designation. The therapy is being tested in a late-stage trial for patients with HER2-positive breast cancer who have the HLA-A*02 genotype, and who finished standard treatment.
  • Henry Schein (HSIC) approves $750M share repurchase program.
  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) said the FDA approved its drug delivery system for patients with a type of bladder cancer, the drugmaker said on Tuesday, offering a potential alternative to surgically remove the organ.
  • Lakeland Industries (LAKE) Q2 EPS $0.08 vs est. $0.08 on sales $52.5Mm vs est. $54.58Mm; sees FY revs $210-220Mm vs est. $218Mm.
  • Novo Nordisk (NVO), the maker of blockbuster weight-loss drug Wegovy, said it will cut 11.5% of its workforce in an effort to revive growth and combat competition from U.S. rival Eli Lilly (LLY) and compounded copycat drugs; said the new restructuring plan would save $1.25 billion annually.
  • Rapport Therapeutics (RAPP) 9.62M share Secondary priced at $26.00.
  • President Trump signed a presidential memorandum that calls on federal health agencies to require pharmaceutical companies to disclose more side effects in their ads and enforce existing rules about misleading ads. The administration is pitching the moves as a way to increase transparency for patients. The US is the only place, besides New Zealand, where pharma companies can directly advertise to consumers.

Technology, Media & Telecom

  • Oracle Corp. (ORCL) shares surged after backlog orders; Q1 adj EPS $1.47 vs est. $1.48, adj op Inc $6.2B vs est. $6.2B on revs $14.9B vs est. $15.038B, cloud revs $7.2B; says next month at Oracle AI World will introduce a new cloud infrastructure service called the Oracle AI Database; expects cloud infrastructure rev to grow 77% to $18 b this fiscal year; said signed four multi-billion-dollar contracts with three different customers in Q1, which resulted in RPO contract backlog increasing 359% to $455B. ORCL noted it expects Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to grow 77% to $18B in FY26 and then increase to $32B in FY27, $73B in FY28, $114B in FY29, and $144B in FY30, implying a ~70% CAGR since FY25 $10.2B.
  • ChipMOS Technologies Inc. (IMOS) recorded Aug revenue of NT$2,090.3M or US$68.3M, marking a 6.3% increase from July 2025. However, this figure represents a 1.2% decrease compared to August 2024.
  • Elliott Management has built a stake in payments automation company Bill Holdings (BILL) of at least 5%, making it one of Bill Holdings’ five largest investors – Financial Times.
  • Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) Q2 adj EPS ($0.03) vs est. ($0.34) on revs $309.9Mm vs est. $282.22Mm; guides FY revs $1.227-1.237B vs est. $1.185B and adj EPS ($0.50)-($0.44) vs est. ($0.97).
  • Synopsys (SNPS) shares tumble after Q3 EPS $3.39 vs. est. $3.75; Q3 revs rose 14% y/y to $1.74B vs. est. $1.77B; sees Q4 non-GAAP EPS $2.76-$2.80, and sees Q4 revenue $2.23-$2.26, vs. consensus $2.09B; Expecting full-year 2025 revenue between $7.03 and $7.06 billion dollars as Synopsys transformation continues (shares were double downgraded to Underperform at Bank America citing the persistent uncertainty of foundry potential at top customer INTC, which historically has made up about 12% of sales.

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

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Market Review: September 09, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/market-review-september-09-2025/ Tue, 09 Sep 2025 20:09:22 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/market-review-september-09-2025/ Closing Recap Tuesday, September 09, 2025 Index Up/Down % Last DJ Industrials 196.64 0.43% 45,711 S&P 500 17.52 0.27% 6,512 Nasdaq 80.79 0.37% 21,879 Russell 2000 -13.07 0.55% 2,381                   U.S. stocks were choppy on Tuesday before edging higher to close near the best levels of the day after digesting a weaker ... Read More

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Closing Recap

Tuesday, September 09, 2025

Index

Up/Down

%

Last

DJ Industrials

196.64

0.43%

45,711

S&P 500

17.52

0.27%

6,512

Nasdaq

80.79

0.37%

21,879

Russell 2000

-13.07

0.55%

2,381

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. stocks were choppy on Tuesday before edging higher to close near the best levels of the day after digesting a weaker than expected annual jobs revision, an Apple (AAPL) product announcement, several large M&A deals, while awaiting earnings results from ORCL overnight and PPI inflation data tomorrow morning (and CPI on Thursday). Last Friday’s nonfarm payroll numbers appeared to have sealed the case for a 25bp cut at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting, but data showing the U.S. economy likely created 911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March than previously estimated, suggesting job growth was already stalling before tariffs on imports, and much weaker in the prior administration then had been let on put chances of more aggressive cuts on the table by the Fed in coming months. Energy stocks rise as oil extends gains after the Israeli military said it carried out an attack on Hamas leadership in Qatari capital Doha in an escalation of the conflict in the region. Gold prices hit another all-time high, while crypto was mixed. Apple introduced new AirPods line (first upgrade in 3-years), new Apple watch features/upgrades and new iPhone 17. Industrials and Materials were the biggest drags in the S&P while Utilities, Communications, Financials and Healthcare were the leaders.

 

The BLS announced benchmark revisions to payroll figures covering the 12-month period ending in March today.

Today’s key event is the BLS preliminary payrolls benchmark revision at 15:00 BST/10:00 ET. It is expected to cut 400k–900k jobs from the year to March 2025. That would slash average monthly gains to 60k–90k from ~150k.

Based on quarterly data from these unemployment-tax records, job growth during the 12 months ended March is estimated to have been overstated by anywhere between 500,000 and 1M. Currently, payroll employment has been measured as +1.758M over this period, or around 146K jobs per month. A downward revision of 500,000 would lower the 12-month payroll gain to 1.258M, or around 105,000 jobs per month for this period. A downward revision of 1M would lower the 12-month payroll gain to 758K, or 63K jobs per month.”

Economic Data

  • The U.S. economy likely created 911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March than previously estimated, the government said on Tuesday, suggesting job growth was already stalling before tariffs on imports. Economists had estimated that the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics could revise the level of employment from April 2024 through March 2025 by between -400,000 and -1 million jobs. The level of employment for the 12 months through March 2024 was downgraded by 598,000 jobs.

Commodities, Treasuries and Currencies

  • December gold prices rose $4.80 or 0.13% to settle at $3,682.20 an ounce (off earlier record highs $3,715.20). Data showed The People’s Bank of China increased its gold holdings for the 10th straight month. Continued strength in precious metals.
  • Oil prices rose after the Israeli military said it carried out an attack on Hamas leadership in Qatari capital Doha in an escalation of the conflict in the region. U.S. WTI crude oil futures settle at $62.63/bbl, up 37 cents, or 0.59% but pulled back off earlier highs while Brent gained $0.37 to settle at $66.39 per barrel. Nymex natural gas settles up 0.9% at $3.117/mmBtu.
  • The U.S. dollar index (DXY) hit a seven-week low this morning of 97.25, ahead of the release of preliminary benchmark revisions for jobs data covering the period from April 2024 to March 2025. The dollar then rallied despite the weaker revisions, bouncing all day to finish near best levels at 97.80. The euro slipped to lows 1.1706 after touching its strongest level since July 24 around 1.178.
  • The U.S. Treasury sold $58B in 3-year notes at high yield 3.485%, below the 3.492% when issued prior, with bid-to-cover ratio 2.73, as primary dealers take 8.37% of U.S. 3-year notes sale, direct 17.39% and indirect 74.24% (2nd highest reading on record). After tumbling in recent days, Treasury yields saw a modest bounce today with the 10-yr +3bps to 4.076% and the 2-yr +5bps to 3.54%.

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

WTI Crude

0.37

62.63

Brent

0.27

66.39

Gold

4.80

3,682.20

EUR/USD

-0.0056

1.1706

JPY/USD

-0.09

147.41

10-Year Note

0.036

4.079%

 

Sector News Breakdown

Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:

  • In Retail: LULU was downgraded to Sector Weight at Keybanc after announced a mixed Q2, with revenue falling short of expectations and U.S. growth turning negative for the first time in several years, which helped to drive a guide-down to FY25 as well as several actions to course correct the business over the coming quarters. DKS was upgraded to Buy from Neutral, citing DKS and FL combination will be powerful force in athletic footwear and apparel; raises PT to $280 from $225.

Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:

  • In Autos: CHPT files for mixed shelf of up to $400M; Ford (F) is recalling about 1.5 million vehicles in the U.S. due to a rear-view camera issue causing inverted, distorted, or blank image, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says. TM will consolidate its U.S. Lexus plants into one in a supply-chain restructuring that responds to tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Japanese vehicles, Nikkei said in a report. VWAGY said it will invest up to a billion euros ($1.2 billion) in artificial intelligence by 2030, feeding the technology into every area of its business in a bid to unlock billions in savings.
  • In Hotels & Lodging: Citigroup upgraded Hyatt (H) to Buy from Neutral and raised its tgt to $167 from $138 saying while continues to anticipate a relatively tepid RevPAR environment, it believes several factors can drive share appreciation from current levels including: 1) outsized net rooms growth and (2) a concentration at the upper end of the market. The firm downgraded PK to Neutral from Buy and lowered tgt to $12 as believes an increasingly tepid RevPAR environment, potential for continued pullback in consumer travel, and challenging transaction environment are likely to weigh on valuation in the near term.
  • In Gaming/Casinos: Jefferies said its latest OSB survey, which showed continued growth and strong interest in in-play betting, a tailwind for DKNG and that 44% of respondents noted in-play betting availability was “very important” (up 9pts vs June), and 92% said more in-play betting opportunities would improve their experience.

Energy

  • Energy stocks rise as oil extends gains after the Israeli military said it carried out an attack on Hamas leadership in Qatari capital Doha in an escalation of the conflict in the region.
  • In Energy: SOC shares fell after Bloomberg reported that California Governor Newsom is seeking to impose further restrictions on California’s offshore oil industry, a setback to Sable Offshore and its controversial project off the coast of Santa Barbara County. The regulation is seen as a way to alleviate environmental concerns from another proposal that would ease drilling permits in the state’s interior, with both proposals expected to be included in legislative text this week https://tinyurl.com/4p947628; NEXT said COP will purchase 1 million tonnes per annum of LNG from its Rio Grande export facility in Texas for 20 years.
  • In Refiners: PSX said it will acquire the remaining 50% stake in WRB Refining from Cenovus Energy CVE.TO for $1.4 billion, giving it full ownership of two major U.S. refineries. WRB includes the Wood River refinery in Illinois and the Borger refinery in Texas, which have a combined crude throughput capacity of 495,000 barrels per day (bpd). Bloomberg reported that California in talks to pay hundreds of millions to VLO to stave off refinery shutdown.

Banks, Brokers, Asset Managers:

  • In Banks: JPM said at a conference today that investment banking revenue will grow in low double digits for the third quarter of this year; said that markets revenue would grow in the high teens percentage rate for the third quarter; warned that there could be an uptick in compensation related expenses; WFC said consumers are raising spending and paying bills on time, reflecting their continued financial health; bank could be open to acquisitions to add capabilities in payments or other products, but the bar would be high for such opportunities; BCS said they are confident in meeting targets for the year in CNBC interview. Citigroup (C) CFO notes expect revenue higher than guided $84B for the full year 2025, while notes expenses would also be higher than $54.3B guided.
  • In Insurance: BHF shares rose after the Financial Times reported that Aquarian Holdings is in late stage talks with two Middle Eastern investors to finance a takeover of the life insurer. https://tinyurl.com/43fduwfp  
  • In Brokers & Exchanges: Crypto exchange Gemini has secured NDAQ as a strategic investor, according to Reuters. Nasdaq will buy $50 million worth of Gemini shares in a private placement at the time of its IPO, the outlet reported. https://tinyurl.com/nhhpz54e ; CBOE said it would launch so-called continuous futures for bitcoin and ether starting November 10, as the derivatives exchange looks to expand its crypto offerings.
  • In Asset Managers: IVZ preliminary month-end assets under management (AUM) of $2,063.6B, an increase of 1.9% versus previous month-end. The firm delivered net long-term inflows of $11.1B in the month. Non-management fee earning net inflows were $1.9B and money market net outflows were $7.4B.
  • In Crypto: shares of IREN, CIFR, WULF, CORZ were among some companies rallying following the announcement of NBIS $17.4B deal with MSFT to provide GPU infrastructure capacity. The deal highlights the surging demand for AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, which positively impacts these related companies.

Biotech & Pharma:

  • ALKS was defended at Deutsche Bank saying they would be buyers on yesterday’s pullback, after the co presented the full data set from its Ph2 VIBRANCE-1 trial of alixorexton in narcolepsy type 1 at the WORLD SLEEP meeting, alongside competitor data sets in NT1 from TAK’s oveporexton (Ph3) and Eisai’s E2086 (Ph1B). Deutsche Bank see upside/downside of +40-50%/-20-25% for shares on positive/negative NT2 data.
  • IONS said the U.S. FDA has granted breakthrough therapy designation to its experimental drug, ION582, for the treatment of a rare neurological disease called Angelman syndrome.
  • NVS said it will acquire TRML in a $1.4B cash deal, with TRML holders to receive $48 per share, representing a premium of 59% to last close of $30.18. The deal expected to close in Q4, TRML will become an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of Novartis. https://tinyurl.com/58a89s6n

Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:

  • In Medical Equipment & Supplies: SGHT announced that UNH has updated its Glaucoma Surgical Treatments policy to cover goniotomy, trabeculotomy, canaloplasty, and combined canaloplasty and trabeculotomy procedures for adults, when deemed medically necessary for treating mild to moderate open-angle glaucoma and cataract in adults currently being treated with ocular hypotensive medication.
  • In Managed Care: UNH shares rise after reaffirms their adjusted earnings per share expectations for 2025, following the acquisition of Amedisys in August. UnitedHealth told investors it expects about 78% of its Medicare Advantage members will be in 4-star or higher plans for 2027, in line with past performance. HUM shares tumbled while CNC advanced as other MA Star plans revealed.
  • In Contract Research Organization (CRO): Jefferies with three ratings changes, upgrading CRL to Buy from Hold (tgt to $195 from $142) saying the company’s discovery and safety assessment bookings are improving and it has several ways to create value via a sale of all or part of its manufacturing solutions segment; IQV was upgraded to Buy from Hold (tgt to $225 from $195) saying the company’s "stronger" business-to-business metrics and workforce stability signal that it is holding up better than peers; and downgraded ICLR to Hold from Buy (tgt to $175 from $220) as now sees too many headwinds to continue to recommend.

Transports

  • In Industrials: CNM shares tumbled after reported mixed Q2 results (EPS beat and revs $2.09B missed $2.12B est.) while narrows FY25 revenue view to $7.6B-$7.7B from $7.6B-$7.8B and lowered its FY25 adjusted EBITDA view to $920M-$940M from $950M-$1B. Alstom received an order valued at around 1B euros ($1.18B) from U.S. state-owned public transportation system NJ Transit to modernize its fleet.
  • In Aerospace & Defense: ASTS was downgraded to Neutral from Buy and lowered tgt to $43 from $62 as believes Starlink’s newly announced acquisition of SAT’s S-Band spectrum for $19B fortifies its position in the space to cellular market and increases risk for ASTS as it drives utilization on its nascent constellation. PL shares declined after the company said it would offer $300 million of Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 (follows a 48% advance on Monday after better earnings/guidance). BA said that it delivered 57 jets in August, up from 48 in July. It was the highest number of deliveries in August since 2018, when the U.S. planemaker handed over 64 airliners. By August 31, the company had delivered 385 jets in 2025, already surpassing its full-year 2024 total of 348 planes.

Materials, Metals & Mining

  • In Metals & Mining: Anglo (NGLOY) and TECK are to merge, the two companies said. Under the proposed deal, which will require regulatory approval, Anglo American shareholders would own 62.4% of the newly combined company, Anglo Teck, while shareholders in Teck will hold 37.6% (would be combined $53B). FCX halted operations in Indonesia’s Grasberg mine after an underground incident late Monday at one of five production blocks in the Grasberg Block Cave underground mine in Central Papua.
  • In Paper & Packaging: SEE was upgraded to Overweight from Neutra at JP Morgan saying improved volumes and profitability in Protective for 2026 coupled to good free cash generation may jump-start the share price and thinks that Sealed Air trades at a discount to its private market value.
  • In Lithium sector: shares of ALB, SQM, SGML all declined on easing supply expectations; Chinese battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) is expected to soon resume production at lithium mine in Yichun in southern China, Securities Times reported.
  • In Uranium: UUUU (52-week highs) said that a preliminary batch of rare earths provided to a South Korean manufacturer of drive unit motor cores was converted into permanent magnets. The producer of uranium, rare earth elements and other critical minerals said Tuesday that high-purity neodymium-praseodymium oxide produced at its White Mesa Mill in Utah has been manufactured into commercial scale rare earth permanent magnets by the unidentified company in South Korea.
  • In Chemicals: Wells Fargo noted CMA reported North American PE prices settled flat M/M in August after holding steady M/M in July and increasing $0.03/lb M/M in June. As a reminder, producers had sent out letters announcing price increases of $0.03-0.05/lb for the month. August marked the second consecutive month of failed pricing nomination. Following August’s flat PE pricing settlement, lowers ests DOW, LYB.

Internet, Media & Telecom

  • Apple (AAPL) product event highlights; announces AirPods Pro 3 with live translation (those headlines sunk shares of DUOL) and heart rate sensing priced at $249 available Sept 19th; announces Apple watch series 11 with 5G modem for cellular connectivity that has twice the scratch resistance as Series 10 and can monitor hypertension, with FDA clearance expected soon that starts at $399 and Ultra 3 Starts at $799. Apple announces 4 new iPhone models. Announces a19 iphone chip made with 3 nanometer chipmaking technology; announces iPhone air (28% thinner and at 5.6mm), its thinnest model to date which will use A19 pro chip; New N1 chip adds Wi-Fi 7, Bluetooth 6, Thread; also announce new iPhone 17 Pro. Shares erased gains after pricing iPhone "Air" model with a high-density battery and a brand new processor, priced starting at $999, iPhone 17 standard at $799 and 17 Pro $1,099.
  • In Media: for FOXA, NWS, the Murdoch family reached an agreement to eliminate three children – Prudence, Elisabeth and James – as beneficiaries of the trust. The agreement will solidify Lachlan’s influence over both Fox and News Corp. Citi noted it may cause the spread between the Class B shares and Class A shares to narrow.
  • In Data Center/AI news: NBIS shares jumped after saying it will provide MSFT with GPU infrastructure capacity, in a deal worth $17.4 billion, over a five-year term. CRWV announced the launch of CoreWeave Ventures, a new initiative committed to backing founders and companies developing the platforms and technologies shaping the AI ecosystem and the next frontier of computing. SMCI shares rallied after NOK announced an artificial-intelligence partnership with the server maker. OpenAI has projected its 2030 revenue will rise about 15% to roughly $200 billion. The company expects ChatGPT to generate nearly $70 billion in additional revenue over the next six years compared to earlier projections, said The Information.
  • In Hardware/PC sector: DELL announced the immediate resignation of CFO, Yvonne McGill (staying at Dell thru Oct 31st to enable orderly transition), to pursue other opportunities after 30+ years at the company. Dell has appointed David Kennedy, SVP, Global Operations & Finance as interim CFO. SONY was upgraded to Buy at Daiwa, anticipating renewed investor interest in the firm’s entertainment-focused strategy following the partial spin-off of the financial services business.
  • In Software: TEAM shares rallied after announcing it is ending its data center product over the coming three years and will move customers to its cloud platform. YEXT Q2 adj net income $16.3M vs. est. $15.7M; Q2 $0.13 vs. est. $0.12; Q2 revs rose 16% y/y to $113.1M vs. est. $111.2M; Q2 Direct customers represented 83% of total ARR, totaling $369.5M, an 18% y/y increase on an as-reported basis. IOT shares fell after the International Trade Commission ruled that Motive Technologies didn’t infringe Samsara’s U.S. patents.
  • In Semiconductors: ASML said it is investing €1.3 billion ($1.5 billion) in France’s Mistral AI, a move that shores up one of Europe’s most important artificial intelligence (AI) startup. With the investment, ASML becomes the largest shareholder in Mistral with an 11% stake, the companies said.

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

The post Market Review: September 09, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Daily Commentary: September 09, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/daily-commentary-september-09-2025/ Tue, 09 Sep 2025 14:40:12 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/?p=25497 Waiting For the PPI Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 09 www.oneoption.com The market has been treading water near the all time high as it waits for a catalyst. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY – The overnight news is light and international markets are mixed with small moves. The S&P 500 is going to open flat and all eyes will be ... Read More

The post Daily Commentary: September 09, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Waiting For the PPI

Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 09
www.oneoption.com

The market has been treading water near the all time high as it waits for a catalyst.

PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY – The overnight news is light and international markets are mixed with small moves. The S&P 500 is going to open flat and all eyes will be focused on tomorrow’s PPI release before the open.

The economic releases don’t get any bigger than the jobs report and last Friday’s release was a big miss. That news should have produced a move and it didn’t. The PPI came in at a very hot .9% last month and traders will be watching for that to normalize. Analysts are expecting a rise of .3%.

CPI will be released Thursday and that could be elevated. It typically takes 2-3 months for producers to pass price increases on to consumers. Analysts are expecting a CPI reading of .3% and I feel there is room for disappointment.

Will hot inflation numbers keep the Fed from easing? No. I believe a 25 basis point rate cut will happen next week. There is even a remote (10%) chance for a 50 basis point cut. The Fed has admitted that tariff related inflation might be temporary so they are not overly concerned with it. They are more concerned with the drop in employment. Central banks around the world have been much more concerned about economic growth and they have been easing for most of the last year. Could hot inflation readings postpone future rate cuts? Yes.

There is a BLS benchmark labor revision out at 10 am ET this morning. This is an annual adjustment and given all of the recent revisions it will be interesting to see if they are consistent with a decline in employment.

Stock buybacks have fueled the market rally and we will enter the blackout period next week. Removing those buyers could weaken the bid. We are also entering one of the weakest seasonal periods for the market.

I’m not bearish, just cautious. All eyes are on the inflation numbers this week and the Fed next week.

Look for a relatively dull day today. Friday’s range is likely to hold.

The post Daily Commentary: September 09, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Mid-Morning Look: September 09, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/mid-morning-look-september-09-2025/ Tue, 09 Sep 2025 14:36:25 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/mid-morning-look-september-09-2025/ Mid-Morning Look Tuesday, September 09, 2025 Index Up/Down % Last DJ Industrials -25.04 0.05% 45,494 S&P 500 2.74 0.04% 6,497 Nasdaq 7.64 0.04% 21,807 Russell 2000 -10.33 0.43% 2,384     U.S. stocks little changed to start the day, taking a large downward revision to annual jobs data in stride, as the U.S. Labor dept said preliminary estimate of nonfarm ... Read More

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Mid-Morning Look

Tuesday, September 09, 2025

Index

Up/Down

%

Last

DJ Industrials

-25.04

0.05%

45,494

S&P 500

2.74

0.04%

6,497

Nasdaq

7.64

0.04%

21,807

Russell 2000

-10.33

0.43%

2,384

 

 

U.S. stocks little changed to start the day, taking a large downward revision to annual jobs data in stride, as the U.S. Labor dept said preliminary estimate of nonfarm payrolls benchmark revision for year would decrease March 2025 level of employment by 911,000, or 0.6%, and compared to the -598K revisions in 2024 and -187K in 2023, showing the job market is far weaker than appeared. This marks the biggest annual revision on record and exceeded expectations of 700-800K. The 2009 previous record revision was -902,000. The dollar fell initially on the report before rebounding as stocks steadied on rising bets for additional calls for rate cuts in 2025 after the widely expected 25-bps cut in September (with some calls for 50bps). With the revisions behind us, attention turns to the Apple (AAPL) iPhone event this afternoon at 1:00 pm et in Cupertino, then inflation data the next two days (PPI tomorrow and CPI on Thursday 9/11). In stock news, a big deal in the AI/infrastructure space as MSFT signs a $17B deal with NBIS sending shares surging (also lifting shares of CRWV, IREN, others); a biotech deal where NVS buys TRML for a 50% premiums and TECK and NGLOY announced a merger in the metals & mining sector. Earnings tonight for ORCL in software. Energy stocks rise as oil extends gains after the Israeli military said it carried out an attack on Hamas leadership in Qatari capital Doha in an escalation of the conflict in the region.

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

WTI Crude

0.98

63.24

Brent

0.91

66.93

Gold

14.60

3,692.00

EUR/USD

-0.0025

1.1737

JPY/USD

-0.61

146.88

10-Year Note

0.026

4.072%

 

Sector Movers Today

  • In Contract Research Organization (CRO): Jefferies with three ratings changes, upgrading CRL to Buy from Hold (tgt to $195 from $142) saying the company’s discovery and safety assessment bookings are improving and it has several ways to create value via a sale of all or part of its manufacturing solutions segment; IQV was upgraded to Buy from Hold (tgt to $225 from $195) saying the company’s “stronger” business-to-business metrics and workforce stability signal that it is holding up better than peers; and downgraded ICLR to Hold from Buy (tgt to $175 from $220) as now sees too many headwinds to continue to recommend.
  • In Hardware/PC sector: DELL announced the immediate resignation of CFO, Yvonne McGill (staying at Dell thru Oct 31st to enable orderly transition), to pursue other opportunities after 30+ years at the company. Dell has appointed David Kennedy, SVP, Global Operations & Finance as interim CFO and executing exhaustive internal + external search. SONY was upgraded to Buy at Daiwa, anticipating renewed investor interest in the firm’s entertainment-focused strategy following the partial spin-off of the financial services business.
  • In Hotels & Lodging: Citigroup upgraded Hyatt (H) to Buy from Neutral and raised its tgt to $167 from $138 saying while continues to anticipate a relatively tepid RevPAR environment, it believes several factors can drive share appreciation from current levels including: 1) outsized net rooms growth and (2) a concentration at the upper end of the market. The firm downgraded PK to Neutral from Buy and lowered tgt to $12 as believes an increasingly tepid RevPAR environment, potential for continued pullback in consumer travel, and challenging transaction environment are likely to weigh on valuation in the near term.

 

Stock GAINERS

  • BHF +10%; shares rose after the Financial Times reported that Aquarian Holdings is in late stage talks with two Middle Eastern investors to finance a takeover of the life insurer. https://tinyurl.com/43fduwfp  
  • NBIS +37%; shares jumped over 50% after saying it will provide MSFT with GPU infrastructure capacity, in a deal worth $17.4 billion, over a five-year term.
  • TEAM +4%; after announcing it is ending its data center product over the coming three years and will move customers to its cloud platform
  • TECK +12%; as Anglo (NGLOY) and TECK are to merge, the two companies said. Under the proposed deal, which will require regulatory approval, Anglo American shareholders would own 62.4% of the newly combined company, Anglo Teck, while shareholders in Teck will hold 37.6%.
  • TRML +58%; as NVS said it will acquire TRML in a $1.4B cash deal, with TRML holders to receive $48 per share, representing a premium of 59% to last close of $30.18. The deal expected to close in Q4, TRML will become an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of Novartis. https://tinyurl.com/58a89s6n
  • UNH +2%; shares rise after reaffirms their adjusted earnings per share expectations for 2025, following the acquisition of Amedisys in August. UnitedHealth told investors it expects about 78% of its Medicare Advantage members will be in 4-star or higher plans for 2027, in line with past performance.

 

Stock LAGGARDS

  • ALB -10%; along with other lithium producers SQM, SGML all declined on easing supply expectations; Chinese battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) is expected to soon resume production at lithium mine in Yichun in southern China, Securities Times reported.
  • ASTS -6%; was downgraded to Neutral from Buy and lowered tgt to $43 from $62 as believes Starlink’s newly announced acquisition of SAT’s S-Band spectrum for $19B fortifies its position in the space to cellular market and increases risk for ASTS as it drives utilization on its nascent constellation
  • CNM -21%; shares tumbled after reported mixed Q2 results (EPS beat and revs $2.09B missed $2.12B est.) while narrows FY25 revenue view to $7.6B-$7.7B from $7.6B-$7.8B and lowered its FY25 adjusted EBITDA view to $920M-$940M from $950M-$1B.
  • NWS -2%; after Rupert Murdoch and his children resolved a messy family feud with a settlement that gives favored son Lachlan Murdoch broad control and ensures Fox News and the rest of the sprawling media empire retains its conservative slant.
  • PL -4%; after the company said it would offer $300 million of Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 (follows a 48% advance on Monday after better earnings/guidance).
  • SOC -14%; following news that Governor Gavin Newsom seeks to impose further restrictions on California’s offshore oil industry, a setback to Sable and its controversial project off the coast of Santa Barbara County. https://tinyurl.com/4p947628

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

The post Mid-Morning Look: September 09, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Morning Preview: September 09, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/morning-preview-september-09-2025/ Tue, 09 Sep 2025 10:59:11 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/morning-preview-september-09-2025/ Early Look Tuesday, September 9, 2025 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow -12.00 0.03% 45,563 S&P 500 5.25 0.09% 6,511 Nasdaq 45.50 0.19% 23,844     U.S. stock futures are higher, building on yesterday’s gains as the Nasdaq Comp looks to make it another record high after stocks climbed Monday as traders bet on almost three Federal Reserve rate cuts starting ... Read More

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Early Look

Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Futures

Up/Down

%

Last

Dow

-12.00

0.03%

45,563

S&P 500

5.25

0.09%

6,511

Nasdaq

45.50

0.19%

23,844

 

 

U.S. stock futures are higher, building on yesterday’s gains as the Nasdaq Comp looks to make it another record high after stocks climbed Monday as traders bet on almost three Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in September, with Treasury yields sliding and the dollar retreating. On the event calendar today, Apple (AAPL) will host its annual fall event on Sept. 9 at its Cupertino, Calif., headquarters, where the company is expected to debut its latest iPhone and Apple Watch lineups. Apple’s highly anticipated iPhone 17 Air is expected to be revealed at 5.5 millimeters thin; it will be far slimmer than the standard iPhone and iPhone Pro (7.8 and 8.3 millimeters respectively). The other big piece of news expected today is the annual job revisions, as the data is backwards-facing and is expected to show that about 700,000 fewer jobs were created from March 2024 to March 2025 than previously thought. This week’s release comes as extra attention is focused on the job market after new jobs data for the month of August, released last Friday, was much weaker than expected. Overnight there were also three big deals boosting sentiment in metals space (TECK/NGLOY), biotech space (NVS/TRML) and the AI space with (NBIS/MSFT). Treasuries slip, snapping a four-day winning streak as investors braced for inflation readings this week. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index dropped -184 points to 43,459, the Shanghai Index fell -19 points to 3,807, and the Hang Seng Index jumped 304 points to 25,938. In Europe, the German DAX is down -87 points to 23,719, while the FTSE 100 rises 20 points to 9,240.

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

  • The S&P 500 Index climbed 13.65 points, or 0.21%, to 6,495.15
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 114.09 points, or 0.25%, to 45,514.95
  • The Nasdaq Composite gained 98.31 points, or 0.45%, to 21.798.70
  • The Russell 2000 Index advanced 3.85 points, or 0.16% to 2,394.90

Economic Calendar for Today

  • 6:00 AM ET NFIB Small Business Optimism for August
  • 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales
  • 8:55 AM ET                  Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales
  • 1:00 PM ET US Treasury to sell$58B in 3-year notes
  • 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data

Earnings Calendar:

  • Earnings Before the Open: BIOX CGNT CNM DBI FCEL KFY LE MOMO SAIL SI
  • Earnings After the Close: AMRK AVAV CVGW GME INNV LAKE LMNR MEI MIND MTRX ORCL RBRK SKIL SNPS

Other Key Events:

  • Apple (AAPL) iPhone event expected 9/9 for Ultra-Thin iPhone
  • Bank America 2025 Global Real Estate Conference, 9/9-9/11
  • Barclays 23rd Annual Global Financial Services Conference, 9/8-9/10 in New York
  • Deutsche Bank IAA Cars Conference, 9/8-9/9, in Munich, Germany
  • Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference, 9/8-9/11, in San Francisco, CA
  • Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference, 9/8-9/10
  • Morgan Stanley Latin America Conference, 9/8-9/10
  • Morgan Stanley European Utilities and Energy Summit, 9/9-9/11
  • Piper 4th Annual Growth Frontiers Conference, 9/9-9/11, in Nashville, TN
  • Roth Capital 12th Annual Solar & Storage Symposium, 9/8-9/10, in Las Vegas
  • Wolfe Research Tech Conference, 9/8-9/11

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

Nymex

0.48

62.74

Brent

0.47

66.49

Gold

13.30

3,690.70

EUR/USD

-0.0006

1.1756

JPY/USD

-1.03

146.47

10-Year Note

+0.017

4.062%

 

World News

  • The National Federation of Independent Business said on Tuesday its Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.5 point to 100.8 last month. The share of business owners expecting higher sales rose six points to 12%.

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

  • Casy’s General (CASY) Q1 EPS $5.77 vs. est. $5.03; Q1 revs $4.57B vs. est. $4.47B; Q1 inside same-store sales increased 4.3% compared to prior year, and 6.7% on a two-year stack basis, with an inside margin of 41.9%. Total inside gross profit increased 14.8% to $705.5 million compared to the prior year; backs FY26 inside same-store sales view of up 2%-5%.
  • ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) files for mixed shelf of up to $400M – SEC filing
  • Ford (F) is recalling about 1.5 million vehicles in the U.S. due to a rear-view camera issue causing inverted, distorted, or blank image, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says. The recall affects select vehicles from model years 2015 to 2019 of Lincoln MKC, Lincoln Navigator, Mustang, F-250, F-350, F-450, F-550, Expedition, Edge, Transit, Transit Connect, Econoline and Ranger, the NHTSA says
  • Mama’s Creations (MAMA) Q2 EPS $0.03 vs est. $0.02, adj EBITDA $3.3Mm vs est. $2.464Mm on revs $35.2Mm vs est. $33.6Mm.
  • Mission Produce (AVO) Q3 adj EPS $0.26 vs est. $0.15, adj EBITDA $32.6Mm vs est. $25Mm on revs $357.7Mm vs est. $320.25Mm; sees Q4 avocado industry volumes approx +15%, sees pricing lower by approx 20-25%, sees meaningful blueberry volume increases offset by lower avg sales prices.
  • Toyota (TM) will consolidate its U.S. Lexus plants into one in a supply-chain restructuring that responds to tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Japanese vehicles, Nikkei said in a report. The carmaker will boost U.S. production of hybrids and shift production of some high-end Lexus models to Japan, according to Nikkei.
  • Unilever (UL) said it expects the Magnum-led ice cream unit it is spinning off to see average annual organic sales growth of 3-5% in the medium-term from 2026, the company said ahead of a capital markets day on Tuesday.

Energy, Industrials and Materials

  • Anglo American (NGLOY) and Canada’s Teck Resources (TECK) are to merge, the two companies said on Tuesday, in what would be the biggest mining sector M&A deal in over a decade. Under the proposed deal, which will require regulatory approval, Anglo American shareholders would own 62.4% of the newly combined company, Anglo Teck, while shareholders in Teck will hold 37.6%.
  • Fluor (FLR) has been awarded a spot on the Defense Threat Reduction Agency’s Cooperative Threat Reduction Integrating Contract IV, giving it a chance to compete for task orders under a program worth up to $3.5B over 10 years.
  • Planet Labs (PL) announces $300M convertible senior notes offering.

Financials

  • Brighthouse Financial (BHF) shares are higher after the Financial Times reported that Aquarian Holdings is in late stage talks with two Middle Eastern investors to finance a takeover of the life insurer. https://tinyurl.com/43fduwfp
  • Crypto exchange Gemini has secured Nasdaq (NDAQ) as a strategic investor, according to Reuters. Nasdaq will buy $50 million worth of Gemini shares in a private placement at the time of its IPO, the outlet reported. https://tinyurl.com/nhhpz54e
  • Invesco Ltd. (IVZ) preliminary month-end assets under management (AUM) of $2,063.6B, an increase of 1.9% versus previous month-end. The firm delivered net long-term inflows of $11.1B in the month. Non-management fee earning net inflows were $1.9B and money market net outflows were $7.4B.

Healthcare

  • Alnylam (ALNY) announces proposed offering of $500M convertible senior notes.
  • Dianthus (DNTH) announces $150M common stock offering.
  • Novartis (NVS) said it will acquire Tourmaline Bio (TRML) in a $1.4B cash deal, with TRML holders to receive $48 per share, representing a premium of 59% to last close of $30.18. The deal expected to close in Q4, TRML will become an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of Novartis. https://tinyurl.com/58a89s6n
  • Rapport Therapeutics (RAPP) announces $250M common stock offering.

Technology, Media & Telecom

  • Nebius Group (NBIS) shares jump after saying it will provide Microsoft (MSFT) with GPU infrastructure capacity, in a deal worth $17.4 billion, over a five-year term. Nebius will provide MSFT access to dedicated GPU infrastructure capacity from its new data center in Vineland, New Jersey, starting later this year.
  • CoreWeave (CRWV) announced the launch of CoreWeave Ventures, a new initiative committed to backing founders and companies developing the platforms and technologies shaping the AI ecosystem and the next frontier of computing.
  • Dell Inc. (DELL) CFO Yvonne McGill to resign as of September 9th while David Kennedy has been appointed interim CFO; reaffirming its guidance for fiscal 2026 Q3 and full year.
  • Fox Corp (FOXA) said on Monday that it has reached a mutual resolution on the legal proceedings related to the Murdoch Family Trust, resulting in the termination of all litigation.
  • Yext inc. (YEXT) Q2 adj net income $16.3M vs. est. $15.7M; Q2 $0.13 vs. est. $0.12; Q2 revs rose 16% y/y to $113.1M vs. est. $111.2M; Q2 Direct customers represented 83% of total ARR, totaling $369.5M, an 18% y/y increase on an as-reported basis and an 17% increase on a constant currency basis; Third-party Reseller customers, represented 17% of total ARR, totaling $74.8M, a 1% increase

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

The post Morning Preview: September 09, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Market Review: September 08, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/market-review-september-08-2025/ Mon, 08 Sep 2025 20:10:01 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/market-review-september-08-2025/ Closing Recap Monday, September 08, 2025 Index Up/Down % Last DJ Industrials 114.09 0.25% 45,514 S&P 500 13.67 0.21% 6,495 Nasdaq 98.31 0.45% 21,798 Russell 2000 3.85 0.16% 2,394                   The Nasdaq climbed to a record high on Monday, lifted by a rally in semiconductors (SOX, AVGO, NVDA) and large cap tech ... Read More

The post Market Review: September 08, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Closing Recap

Monday, September 08, 2025

Index

Up/Down

%

Last

DJ Industrials

114.09

0.25%

45,514

S&P 500

13.67

0.21%

6,495

Nasdaq

98.31

0.45%

21,798

Russell 2000

3.85

0.16%

2,394

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Nasdaq climbed to a record high on Monday, lifted by a rally in semiconductors (SOX, AVGO, NVDA) and large cap tech (AMZN, MSFT) while the S&P 500 rose marginally as investors bet the Federal Reserve will soon lower borrowing costs to shore up economic growth. Traders have fully priced in at least a 25-basis points interest rate cut when the Fed wraps up its two-day policy meeting on September 17, with interest rate futures reflecting a 10% chance of a 50-basis point cut, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Overall, Monday was another day of “waiting” day for potential market moving catalysts in coming days, with Apple’s (AAPL) highly anticipated iPhone event tomorrow afternoon and Oracle (ORCL) earnings tomorrow evening (9/9) along with key inflation data mid-week with PPI on 9.10 and CPI on Thursday 9/11. The European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting 9/11, but no changes expected while the Fed is in their “blackout period” ahead of their policy meeting next week where a 25-bps cut is widely anticipated. There are also a ton of Wall Street conferences taking place across healthcare, financial, solar, Consumer and Technology sectors. The market continues to be led by technology stocks, specifically semis and Mag 7 Mega caps as the ongoing massive investment in AI has stoked buying optimism and market euphoria since the April lows, but Goldman Sachs did warn in a report Friday that major slowdown in AI investment by Big Tech could cut the S&P 500’s valuation multiple by up to 20%. Goldman did add the current risk is below the level of previous bubbles. The fallout depends on hyperscaler capital expenditure trends. Analysts expect a deceleration in late 2025 or 2026, though guidance keeps rising.

 

In Data: NY Fed said 1y consumer inflation expectations 3.2% in Aug. vs 3.1%; 3-yr consumer inflation expectations unchanged at 3% and 5-yr consumer inflation expectations unchanged at 2.9%. US consumers downgraded their views of labor market in August. In macro, France’s parliament voted on Monday to bring down the government over its plans to tame the ballooning national debt, deepening a political crisis and handing President Emmanuel Macron the task of finding a fifth prime minister in less than two years. Also, the Japanese yen remained under pressure after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba confirmed his resignation over the weekend.

Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries

  • Treasury yields continue falling, adding to last week’s declines amid high expectations that the Fed will resume interest rate cutting next week and keep easing afterward as the 10-yr dips -4.2bps to 4.043% (near 10-month lows), the 30-yr -8.7bps to 4.686% and the 2-yr yield -1.2bps to 3.494%. The yen weakens against the dollar while Japan’s yield curve steepens following Prime Minister Ishiba’s departure plan.
  • December gold rose $24.10 or 0.66% to settle at $3,677.40 an ounce, another all-time high adding to last week’s strength (traded in positive territory for 8 of the last 9 trading days). The dollar index (DXY) slid -0.35% at 97.43, extending declines last week as a weaker jobs report led to rising expectations of interest rate easing by the Fed.
  • U.S. WTI crude oil futures settle at $62.26/bbl, up 39 cents, or 0.63% while Brent crude gained $0.52 or 0.79% to settle at $66.02 per barrel, recovering some of last week’s losses, after producer group OPEC+ opted for a modest output hike and investors priced in the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude. Front-month gas futures for October delivery on the NYMEX rose 4.2 cents, or 1.4%, to settle at $3.09 per million British thermal units, their highest close since July 31.

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

WTI Crude

0.39

62.26

Brent

0.53

66.02

Gold

24.10

3,677.40

EUR/USD

0.0047

1.1764

JPY/USD

0.01

147.39

10-Year Note

-0.039

4.045%

 

Sector News Breakdown

S&P Index Change announcements

  • S&P Index Changes lifted several share prices as late Friday, S&P said APP, HOOD and EME will replace MKTX, CZR and ENPH in the S&P 500, respectively. S&P SmallCap 600 constituents MP, KTOS will replace EME and WEN in the S&P MidCap 400, respectively. MKTX, CZR, ENPH and WEN will replace PUMP, XRX, MP and KTOS in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively. NTNX and TRU will replace ACHC and MAN in the S&P MidCap 400, respectively. ACHC and MAN will replace TTGT and MLAB in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively. Lastly, NE, QTWO, WAY and HL will replace OMI, BGS, JACK and SLP in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively.

Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:

  • In Apparel Retail: GOOS was upgraded to Buy from Hold at TDCowen and raised tgt to $18 saying they like the modernization of the product, marketing, and service, inclusive of a new and more culturally relevant creative vision and sees next two quarters to benefit from increased marketing efforts and new product launches.
  • In Footwear: NKE shares outperformed in weaker sports apparel/footwear segment as Jefferies adds Nike to the ‘Franchise Picks Lists’ and maintains Buy & $115 tgt saying thinks the street is underappreciating Nike’s recovery and stated that Nike is the clear category leader and positives include holiday order books higher y/y.
  • In Specialty Retail: CHWY was upgraded to Outperform and raise tgt to $50 at Mizuho following a pullback off recent highs, as now sees the risk / reward for shares tilted heavily upwards. CHWY will be reporting Q2 results on Wednesday morning and updating FY25E guidance in the process.
  • In Consumer Products: in tobacco, BTI was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with a $62 price target saying the company’s plan to pivot towards the growing smokeless tobacco market is working, particularly in the large U.S. market and globally with its Velo product, and the outlook looks promising.

Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:

  • In Autos/Ride Hailing/Food Delivery: UBER will replace CHTR in the S&P 100; CVNA, KMX shares active as used car prices flat m/m and non-adjusted price in August increased by 1.0% compared to July as per Manheim data; QS shares rose after Volkswagen for the first time unveiled an electric vehicle powered by a solid-state battery; the all-electric test motorbike relies on technology provided by U.S.-based QuantumScape.
  • In Cruise sector: NCLH announces registered direct offering of shares to certain holders of its 2027 exchangeable notes, and private offering of $1.2 bln exchangeable notes due 2030 and said intends to use net proceeds to repurchase a portion of its 1.125% exchangeable notes due 2027 and 2.5% exchangeable notes due 2027.
  • In Leisure Products: BC was upgraded from Hold to Buy at Texas Capital and raising its tgt from $55 to $80 saying as the “arms dealer” to the recreational marine industry, the firm has been confident in the company’s position to benefit from a recovery in consumer demand, and restart in OEM boat production, but cautious until there were more concrete signs of a recovery and/ or more attractive entry point for the shares.

Energy and Materials

  • In Energy: KGS said 10M share offering by Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. (the "Selling Stockholder"), an affiliate of the funds known as EQT Infrastructure III and EQT Infrastructure IV, at a price to the public of $34.40 per share. Gibson Energy (GBNXF) was downgraded to MP from Outperform at BMO Capital on limited near-term catalysts but continues to have a positive view on GEI’s growth initiatives at Gateway.
  • In Metals: TECK was upgraded from Hold to Buy at Deutsche Bank noting the shares have been a major laggard this year due to ongoing ramp-up issues at QB. From a relatively high level of optimism mid last year, as TECK transformed into a copper pure play, investor sentiment now seems rock-bottom.
  • In Chemicals: NTR said it will sell its 50% stake in Argentina-based nitrogen producer Profertil for $600M, as the potash producer shifts focus away from South America. The stake will be acquired jointly by agribusiness companies AGRO and Asociacion de Cooperativas Argentinas (ACA) through an 80%-20% partnership.
  • In Packaging: GEF, PKG, SW, IP shares weak initially as OCC prices were down -3% M/M as West Coast sees incremental weakness from export pricing. Wells Fargo noted for the 11th time since June 2024 and 5th time in 2025, OCC prices declined m/m in September. The blended price across the US regions was $57/ton in Sept., down 3% ($2) from August (which had been flat w/ July).

Financials

  • In Banks: PNC has agreed to buy a Colorado-based bank in a $4.1B deal intended to advance its national ambitions by extending its presence in the West. USCB was upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James following its meetings with management last week at the 15th Annual Raymond James Bank Conference and its announcement on Friday that it has repurchased 10% of its shares outstanding.
  • In Crypto: BLSH was initiated coverage on Wall Street today following its recent IPO. Bernstein expects BLSH to be the 2nd largest institutional exchange after Coinbase. This would require BLSH to successfully launch its U.S business in 2026E. Initiated with Buy/Overweight ratings at Citi ($66 tgt), Rosenblatt ($60 tgt), Cantor ($56 tgt), Canaccord ($68 tgt), and Hold/Neutral at Jefferies ($49 tgt), JP Morgan ($50 tgt), Bernstein ($60 tgt).

Biotech & Pharma:

  • A next-generation cancer immunotherapy by BNTX and BMY led to encouraging tumor shrinkage in a mid-stage trial on small cell lung cancer that has started spreading. A Phase II trial showed that 76.3% of the 38 participants on the drug BNT327, who qualified for an interim analysis saw their tumors shrink.
  • DNTH shares fell after announcing data for antibody claseprubart from a Phase 2 trial in generalized myasthenia gravis; said experimental drug claseprubart improved symptoms in adults with generalized myasthenia gravis in a mid-stage trial. The 13-week trial enrolled 65 patients, and patients received shots under the skin every two weeks at either 300 mg, 600 mg, or a placebo.
  • IDYA said early Phase 1 data for its small-cell lung cancer therapy IDE849 (SHR-4849), developed with Hengrui Pharma, showed strong results. The drug achieved an 80% overall response rate (ORR) and 70% confirmed ORR in second-line patients, with a 73.7% ORR across all settings and median progression-free survival of 6.7 months.
  • LLY said its blood cancer treatment Jaypirca met the main goal in a late-stage study in patients who have not received prior treatment.
  • OCUL to highlight ongoing AXPAXLI wet AMD registrational program, strategy and next steps in NPDR and DME, and global commercial opportunity for AXPAXLI. Event to feature global retinal disease experts in a live event that will take place in New York City on September 30, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET.
  • PFE and BNTX announced topline results from an ongoing phase 3 trial cohort evaluating 30-µg Dose Of LP.8.1-adapted monovalent Comirnaty 2025-2026 formula, demonstrating robust immune response in older patients.
  • RAPP shares soared after announcing positive topline results from Phase 2a clinical trial of RAP-219 in patients with focal onset seizures. Patients achieved 77.8% reduction in clinical seizures (p=0.01), with 24% achieving seizure freedom for the 8-week treatment period (p<0.0001). Trial met primary long episode endpoints with high statistical significance, and RAP-219 was generally well tolerated.
  • REGN advances allergy pipeline with two positive phase 3 trials evaluating first-in-class antibody-blockers of cat and birch allergies; both trials met primary and secondary endpoints; combination therapy well-tolerated with no serious adverse events.
  • SMMT shares fell on mixed lung cancer data; presented data from its Phase 3 HARMONi trial of ivonescimab vs. placebo plus chemo, in patient with EGFR+ NSCLC progressed with 3rd gen EGFR-TKI treatment. The study results, reported on Sunday, showed that the drug, ivonescimab, had stronger benefit in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in China, compared with patients in the other two regions.
  • In Healthcare Services: FORD shares surged after the design company said it received $1.65 billion in cash and stablecoin commitments for a private investment in public equity offering to fund a Solana-focused digital asset treasury strategy.

Aerospace & Defense

  • BA was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Vertical Research saying with the aerospace upcycle intact but shifting into a mid-cycle environment, Vertical sees room to take a more balanced aero aftermarket vs OEM stance.
  • PL shares jumped on earnings results as Q2 revs rose 20% y/y to $73.38M, topping the $65.7M estimate and said it launched 2 high-resolution Pelican satellites, enhancing data capabilities; guided Q3 revs $71M-$74M vs. est. $68.8M and guided FY revs above consensus views as well.
  • SAIC was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan saying SAIC’s revenue outlook has weakened in recent months and while there should be less risk to the current forecast, the company’s strategic pivot is proving more challenging than expected following the change of administration.
  • TDG was downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital and cut tgt to $1,385 from $1,550 saying they see a continued period of uncertainty for the stock

Internet, Media & Telecom

  • In Telecom/Cable/Satellite: SATS shares soared after the company agreed to sell spectrum licenses to SpaceX for $17B; agreed to sell the company’s AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses. The deal consists of up to $8.5 billion in cash and up to $8.5 billion in SpaceX stock valued as of the entry into the definitive agreement. Under the agreement, SpaceX will cover about $2 billion in EchoStar’s cash interest payments through November 2027. Shares of VZ, ATand TMUS all declined following the spectrum sale to SpaceX.
  • Tower stocks AMT, CCI, SBAC shares fell after SATSspectrum sale to SpaceX – recall few weeks back the group was hit after the $23B deal with SATS was seen as a significant investment for AT which may lead to a temporary reduction in its CAPEX-spending on other areas, such as leasing additional tower space or deploying new infrastructure. Also, the spectrum new reflects market optimism about satellite-based communication solutions and signal that satellite technologies are gaining traction (maybe at their expense).
  • In Media: ROKU price tgt was raised to $145 from $110 at Citizens after analyzing Roku’s long-term opportunity and estimate it could generate $1.6B in free cash flow by 2030. Says Roku remains the leading U.S. TV OS, reaching 50% of broadband households and capturing 21.4% of total U.S. TV viewing time in July 2025, equivalent to a 45% CTV share; believes Roku could generate $5.7B in U.S. advertising revenue by 2030. StubHub (STUB) aims to raise up to $9.2B in IPO, pricing at $22 to $25 per share. StubHub said it plans to raise as much as $851M in its upcoming initial public offering, giving it a valuation of up to $9.2B
  • In Internet: WIX shares fell after announcing a private offering of $750 mln 0% 5-yr convertible bonds and said it intends to use proceeds for general purposes, including fund share repurchases under its existing buyback program and to acquire complementary businesses, products, services or technologies. PUBM filed a lawsuit against GOOGL in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia. The lawsuit seeks financial damages and aims to restore fair competition in the digital advertising space, following a ruling in April 2025 that found Google engaged in anticompetitive behavior to maintain monopoly power in certain markets.

Hardware & Software movers:

  • In Robotics: China’s Unitree Robotics is looking at as much as 50 billion yuan ($7 billion) in company valuation for its planned initial public offering, two people with knowledge of the startup’s plans said. Unitree said last week on its X account that it was actively advancing the IPO preparations and was expecting to submit the listing application documents in the fourth quarter of the year.
  • Security Software: Netskope (NTSK) is seeking a valuation of up to $6.5 billion in its initial public offering in the United States, the cloud-based cybersecurity firm said on Monday. Netskope said it would sell 47.8 million shares, priced between $15 and $17 apiece, to raise as much as $813 million. Netskope, founded in 2012, develops cloud security software that helps businesses safeguard apps, websites and data from cyber threats.
  • In Hardware/Quantum: IBM shares rallied after comments at Goldman Sachs conference saying they are exiting first half with over $7.5B dollar book of business, about 80% of that is consulting; said have today over 75 quantum computers in production scaling; says by 2028, are going to demonstrate the first error corrected IBM quantum computer

Semiconductors:

  • For ASML, Reuters has reported the company has invested $1.5B in Mistral’s $2B Series C fund raise, which will make it the largest shareholder in the French AI startup. The investment values Mistral at $10B
  • AVGO shares advanced after jumping last Friday on a $10B AI Chip order (still didn’t’ take out Friday intraday high though of $356.34).
  • LRCX initiated with an opening upside 30-day catalyst watch at Citigroup saying they expect the SEMICON WEST equipment show in Phoenix Oct 6-8 to be a positive catalyst for the group and expect equipment makers to raise current flat to +5% 2026 WFE indications higher (Citi +10% Y/Y).
  • SMTC announced two new FiberEdge(R) transimpedance amplifiers (TIAs) designed to address power efficiency challenges in AI infrastructure scaling. The new TIAs expand Semtech’s industry-leading signal integrity portfolio and further enhance power efficiency for continued 800G deployment optimization.

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

The post Market Review: September 08, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Mid-Morning Look: September 08, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/mid-morning-look-september-08-2025/ Mon, 08 Sep 2025 14:40:12 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/mid-morning-look-september-08-2025/ Mid-Morning Look Monday, September 08, 2025 Index Up/Down % Last DJ Industrials -8.19 0.02% 45,393 S&P 500 16.97 0.26% 6,498 Nasdaq 159.69 0.74% 21,860 Russell 2000 -9.33 0.39% 2,381     New day, and more record highs for the Nasdaq Composite as technology strength continues to lead this broad market-based rally. The market is now pricing in a 100% probability ... Read More

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Mid-Morning Look

Monday, September 08, 2025

Index

Up/Down

%

Last

DJ Industrials

-8.19

0.02%

45,393

S&P 500

16.97

0.26%

6,498

Nasdaq

159.69

0.74%

21,860

Russell 2000

-9.33

0.39%

2,381

 

 

New day, and more record highs for the Nasdaq Composite as technology strength continues to lead this broad market-based rally. The market is now pricing in a 100% probability of a Fed rate cut on September 17th following last week’s weaker monthly jobs report. Still, later this week, PPI and CPI inflation readings will be key indicators about the potential of greater/more aggressive rate cuts after the September meeting. Equity futures edged higher overnight with two key developments overseas: Japan’s PM Shigeru Ishiba said he’ll step down and the French government faces a confidence vote. Treasury yields continue falling amid high expectations that the Fed will resume interest rate cutting next week and keep easing afterward as the 10-yr dips -3.7bps to 4.049%, the 30-yr -6bps to 4.712% and the 2-yr yield -2.1bps to 3.486%. Gold miners rally as gold prices extends record run above $3,600 an ounce. The yen weakens against the dollar while Japan’s yield curve steepens following Prime Minister Ishiba’s departure plan. Argentina main stock index down more than 13% at open, after Buenos Aires election. Another day of waiting for CPI, PPI data, ORCL earnings, Apple (AAPL) iPhone event tomorrow and the ECB rate meeting this Thursday (no change expected) ahead of the FOMC next week.

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

WTI Crude

0.32

62.19

Brent

0.53

66.03

Gold

16.70

3,670

EUR/USD

0.0029

1.1746

JPY/USD

0.34

147.72

10-Year Note

-0.037

4.049%

 

Sector Movers Today

  • S&P Index Changes lifted several share prices as late Friday, S&P said APP, HOOD and EME will replace MKTX, CZR and ENPH in the S&P 500, respectively. S&P SmallCap 600 constituents MP, KTOS will replace EME and WEN in the S&P MidCap 400, respectively. MKTX, CZR, ENPH and WEN will replace PUMP, XRX, MP and KTOS in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively. NTNX and TRU will replace ACHC and MAN in the S&P MidCap 400, respectively. ACHC and MAN will replace TTGT and MLAB in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively. Lastly, NE, QTWO, WAY and HL will replace OMI, BGS, JACK and SLP in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively.
  • In Autos/Ride Hailing/Food Delivery: UBER will replace CHTR in the S&P 100; CVNA, KMX shares active as used car prices flat m/m and non-adjusted price in August increased by 1.0% compared to July as per Manheim data; QS shares rose after Volkswagen for the first time unveiled an electric vehicle powered by a solid-state battery; the all-electric test motorbike relies on technology provided by U.S.-based QuantumScape.
  • In Packaging: GEF, PKG, SW, IP shares weak initially as OCC prices were down -3% M/M as West Coast sees incremental weakness from export pricing. Wells Fargo noted for the 11th time since June 2024 and 5th time in 2025, OCC prices declined m/m in September. The blended price across the US regions was $57/ton in Sept., down 3% ($2) from August (which had been flat w/ July).
  • In Telecom/Cable/Satellite: SATS shares soared after the company agreed to sell spectrum licenses to SpaceX for $17B; agreed to sell the company’s AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses. The deal consists of up to $8.5 billion in cash and up to $8.5 billion in SpaceX stock valued as of the entry into the definitive agreement. Under the agreement, SpaceX will cover about $2 billion in EchoStar’s cash interest payments through November 2027. Shares of VZ, ATand TMUS all declined following the spectrum sale to SpaceX.

 

Stock GAINERS

  • APP +11%; after being added to the S&P 500 index late Friday.
  • AVGO +4%; after jumping last Friday on $10B AI Chip order (still didn’t’ take out Friday intraday high though of $356.34).
  • BIDU +6%; strength in US listed China stocks early with BABA, NTES, XPEV rising as well.
  • HOOD +13%; after being added to the S&P 500 index late Friday
  • GOOS +5%; was upgraded to Buy at TDCowen and raised tgt to $18 saying they like the modernization of the product, marketing, and service, inclusive of a new and more culturally relevant creative vision and sees next two quarters to benefit from increased marketing efforts and new product launches.
  • PL +32%; shares jumped on earnings results as Q2 revs rose 20% y/y to $73.38M, topping the $65.7M estimate and said it launched 2 high-resolution Pelican satellites, enhancing data capabilities; guided Q3 revs $71M-$74M vs. est. $68.8M and guided FY revs above consensus views as well.
  • QS +24%; shares rose after Volkswagen for the first time unveiled an electric vehicle powered by a solid-state battery the all-electric test motorbike relies on technology provided by U.S.-based QuantumScape.
  • RAPP +164%; after announcing positive topline results from Phase 2a clinical trial of RAP-219 in patients with focal onset seizures. Patients achieved 77.8% reduction in clinical seizures (p=0.01), with 24% achieving seizure freedom for the 8-week treatment period (p<0.0001). Trial met primary long episode endpoints with high statistical significance, and RAP-219 was generally well tolerated.
  • SATS +16%; shares soared after the company agreed to sell spectrum licenses to SpaceX for $17B; agreed to sell the company’s AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses. The deal consists of up to $8.5 billion in cash and up to $8.5 billion in SpaceX stock valued as of the entry into the definitive agreement

 

Stock LAGGARDS

  • IP -4%; in packaging sector OCC prices were down -3% M/M as West Coast sees incremental weakness from export pricing. Wells Fargo noted for the 11th time since June 2024 and 5th time in 2025, OCC prices declined m/m in September
  • KGS -3%; said 10M share offering by Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. (the “Selling Stockholder”), an affiliate of the funds known as EQT Infrastructure III and EQT Infrastructure IV, at a price to the public of $34.40 per share.
  • SBAC -4%; along with weakness in other towers AMT, CCI on the spectrum news with SATS/SpaceX.
  • SMMT -19%; shares fell on mixed lung cancer data; presented data from its Phase 3 HARMONi trial of ivonescimab vs. placebo plus chemo, in patient with EGFR+ NSCLC progressed with 3rd gen EGFR-TKI treatment. The study results showed that the drug, ivonescimab, had stronger benefit in patients with non-small cell lung cancer in China, compared with patients in the other two regions.
  • VZ -4%; along with weakness in other Telco’s TMUS and AT following the $17B spectrum sale from SATS to SpaceX; shares of ASTS in satellite/broadband also declined in reaction; towers CCI, SBAC, AMT again falling on the spectrum headlines (group was hit after AT&T/SATS spectrum deal 2-weeks ago).
  • WIX -2%; shares fell after announcing a private offering of $750 mln 0% 5-yr convertible bonds and said it intends to use proceeds for general purposes, including fund share repurchases under its existing buyback program and to acquire complementary businesses, products, services or technologies.

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

The post Mid-Morning Look: September 08, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Daily Commentary: September 08, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/daily-commentary-september-08-2025/ Mon, 08 Sep 2025 13:08:31 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/?p=25492 Bull Markets Die Hard Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 08 www.oneoption.com The dismal jobs report last Friday did not spark a massive decline. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS MONDAY – Last Friday we learned that only 22K new jobs were created in August. This is the fourth consecutive month of employment weakness. The market is focused on the likely rate cut ... Read More

The post Daily Commentary: September 08, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Bull Markets Die Hard

Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 08
www.oneoption.com

The dismal jobs report last Friday did not spark a massive decline.

PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS MONDAY – Last Friday we learned that only 22K new jobs were created in August. This is the fourth consecutive month of employment weakness. The market is focused on the likely rate cut next week and it gapped higher Friday. It didn’t take long for sellers to smack that move down, but the damage was contained and this morning the S&P 500 is going to open roughly where it closed Thursday.

The theory is that monetary easing will lower borrowing costs and that it will stimulate economic growth. Central banks around the globe have been easing for a year and it has not stimulated activity. When people don’t have jobs, they don’t spend money no matter how low interest rates are. The “sugar high” from the first Fed rate cut last a couple of months and then reality sets in. It takes a long time for interest rate cuts to have an impact and once the Fed starts down this path, it doesn’t end.

Investors will worry that the Fed waited too long. If you look at the Fed Fund Futures, there’s a 10% chance priced into a possible 50 basis point rate cut. That’s unlikely, but it shows you that the market hasn’t even gotten the first rate cut and it is looking for the next one.

Last week we learned that Canada lost 66K jobs in August and their unemployment rate rose to 7.1%. That is not good news for our second largest trading partner and global weakness is spreading to North America.

This Wednesday the PPI will be released and the CPI will be released on Thursday. Producer prices spiked .9% last month and analysts are expecting that to decline this month (.3%). It typically take 2-3 months for producer prices to flow through to consumers so we should expect an elevated CPI on Thursday.

I don’t like the fundamental back drop and this is seasonally one of the weakest periods of the year. I am going to keep my trades short term for the next two weeks and I will wait for the FOMC reaction.

Support was established last Friday and the market bounced off of that level. Buyers will test the upside now that they know the damage from the jobs report was contained. Overseas markets were up overnight and that is providing a tailwind this morning. Be patient and wait for dips. There’s no need to chase. Look for stocks that held strong during the market decline Friday. Those will be your best prospects.

This is likely to be an inside day and Friday’s range represents support and resistance.

The post Daily Commentary: September 08, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Morning Preview: September 08, 2025 https://www.eoption.com/morning-preview-september-08-2025/ Mon, 08 Sep 2025 10:57:52 +0000 https://www.eoption.com/morning-preview-september-08-2025/ Early Look Monday, September 8, 2025 Futures Up/Down % Last Dow 71.00 0.16% 45,530 S&P 500 16.25 0.25% 6,506 Nasdaq 95.50 0.40% 23,779     U.S. futures are pointing higher, looking to build on last week gains where the S&P 500 gained 0.33%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.14% behind strength in mega cap tech and semiconductors (AVGO), though the Dow ... Read More

The post Morning Preview: September 08, 2025 first appeared on eOption.

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Early Look

Monday, September 8, 2025

Futures

Up/Down

%

Last

Dow

71.00

0.16%

45,530

S&P 500

16.25

0.25%

6,506

Nasdaq

95.50

0.40%

23,779

 

 

U.S. futures are pointing higher, looking to build on last week gains where the S&P 500 gained 0.33%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.14% behind strength in mega cap tech and semiconductors (AVGO), though the Dow fell 0.32%. Crude climbs after OPEC+ agrees to ease supply curbs more gradually from October. There are several key catalysts to watch this week ahead of the FOMC policy next week including August consumer prices (CPI), producer prices (PPI) and Oracle (ORCL) earnings results. The Fed is now in the blackout period before its upcoming meeting with data releases including the US PPI, CPI and benchmark revisions by the BLS to the payrolls series likely to set the tone for trade ahead of the rate decision. Expectations for a September interest rate cut appear now well cemented following last week’s softer jobs data and yields having declined all along the curve, but the question may be how much further room there is to run on the downside? We also get the European central Bank (ECB) policy meeting on Thursday 9/11, where no changes to rates are expected. In stock news, Apple (AAPL) will host its annual fall event on Sept. 9th, where the company is expected to debut its latest iPhone and Apple Watch lineups including its highly anticipated iPhone 17 Air. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index jumped 625 points to 43,643, the Shanghai Index gained 14 points to 3,826, and the Hang Seng Index advanced 215 points to 25,633. In Europe, the German DAX is up 165 points to 23,763, while the FTSE 100 rises 13 points to 9,221.

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

  • The S&P 500 Index dipped -20.58 points, or 0.32%, to 6,481.50
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -220.43 points, or 0.48%, to 45,400.86
  • The Nasdaq Composite slipped -7.31 points, or 0.03%, to 21,700.39
  • The Russell 2000 Index advanced 11.43 points, or 1.48% to 2,391.05

Economic Calendar for Today

  • 10:00 AM ET                Employment Trends for August
  • 3:00 PM ET                   Consumer Credit for July

Earnings Calendar:

  • Earnings Before the Open: DLNG PL TOYO
  • Earnings After the Close: ABVX AVO CASY MAMA

Other Key Events:

  • Barclays 23rd Annual Global Financial Services Conference, 9/8-9/10 in New York
  • Deutsche Bank IAA Cars Conference, 9/8-9/9, in Munich, Germany
  • Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference, 9/8-9/11, in San Francisco, CA
  • Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference, 9/8-9/10
  • Morgan Stanley Latin America Conference, 9/8-9/10
  • Roth Capital 12th Annual Solar & Storage Symposium, 9/8-9/10, in Las Vegas
  • Wolfe Research Tech Conference, 9/8-9/11

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

Nymex

1.21

63.08

Brent

1.29

66.79

Gold

2.30

3,655.60

EUR/USD

0.0008

1.1725

JPY/USD

0.44

147.83

10-Year Note

-0.002

4.083%

 

World News

  • Oil prices climbed, trimming some of last week’s losses, after OPEC+ agreed over the weekend to raise output at a slower pace from October on expectations of weaker global demand. Eight members of OPEC+ will lift production from October by 137,000 barrels per day, far below the monthly increases of about 555,000 bpd for September and August and 411,000 bpd in July and June.
  • China exports growth in August hits a 6-month low, missing expectations – Exports climbed 4.4% in August in U.S. dollar terms from a year earlier, marking the lowest level since February. Imports rose 1.3% last month from a year ago, missing Reuters’ estimates for a 3% growth.
  • Japan’s economy expanded an annualized 2.2% in the April-June period from the previous quarter, much faster than the preliminary reading. The revised gross domestic product (GDP) reading released by the Cabinet Office compared with economists’ median forecast and the initial reading of 1.0% growth.
  • The Japanese yen fell broadly following news that Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba had resigned, while the dollar was nursing losses after tumbling on a weak U.S. jobs report. The yen slumped in response in early Asia trade on Monday, falling 0.3% against the dollar to 148.83.

Sector News Breakdown

S&P 100, 400, 500 and 600 index changes:

  • Uber Technologies (UBER) will replace Charter Communications (CHTR) in the S&P 100.
  • Charter Communications will remain in the S&P 500. AppLovin Corp. (APP), Robinhood Markets (HOOD) and S&P MidCap 400 constituent Emcor Group (EME) will replace MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX), Caesars Entertainment (CZR), and Enphase Energy (ENPH) in the S&P 500, respectively.
  • S&P SmallCap 600 constituents MP Materials (MP) and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) will replace Emcor Group and The Wendy’s Company (WEN) in the S&P MidCap 400, respectively.
  • MarketAxess Holdings, Caesars Entertainment, Enphase Energy and The Wendy’s Company will replace ProPetro Holdings (PUMP), Xerox Holdings (XRX), MP Materials Corp, and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively.
  • Nutanix (NTNX) and TransUnion (TRU) will replace Acadia Healthcare Company (ACHC) and Manpower Group (MAN) in the S&P MidCap 400, respectively.
  • Acadia Healthcare and Manpower Group will replace TechTarget (TTGT) and Mesa Laboratories (MLAB) in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively.
  • Noble Corporation (NE), Q2 Holdings (QTWO), Waystar Holding Corp (WAY) and Hecla Mining Co. (HL) will replace Owens & Minor (OMI), B&G Food (BGS), Jack in the Box (JACK) and Simulations Plus Inc. (SLP) in the S&P SmallCap 600, respectively.

Consumer

  • Playboy (PLBY) has prevailed in its arbitration against its terminated licensee, New Handong Investment, and has been awarded damages of approximately $81M, including accrued interest.
  • VinFast (VFS) officially launched its electric SUVs in India: the VF 6 and VF 7.

 

Energy, Industrials and Materials

  • Nutrien (NTR) announces agreement for sale of 50% equity position in Profertil S.A.; purchase price for Nutrien’s shares in Profertil is $600M
  • TransDigm (TDG) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital and cut tgt to $1,385 from $1,550 saying they see a continued period of uncertainty for the stock.

Financials

  • HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) announced a 22% month-over-month increase in Bitcoin production for August 2025, reflecting both operational strength and continued expansion in Paraguay. August 2025 Production Highlights: Bitcoin Produced: 247 BTC; Average Daily Production: 8 BTC/day.
  • Iren (IREN) said Anthony Lewis, who joined the Australia-based company in July as chief capital officer, has succeeded Belinda Nucifora as chief financial officer. IREN also announced in August that AI Cloud expanding to 10.9k NVIDIA GPUs (>80% Blackwells), supported by non-dilutive GPU financing. Expansion opportunity of >60k GPUs9 across British Columbia campuses, anchored by >20k at Prince George10

Healthcare

  • Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech (BNTX) announced topline results from an ongoing phase 3 trial cohort evaluating 30-µg Dose Of LP.8.1-adapted monovalent Comirnaty 2025-2026 formula, demonstrating robust immune response in older patients.
  • Rapport Therapeutics (RAPP) announced that the Phase 2a clinical trial of RAP-219 in patients with drug-resistant focal onset seizures met its primary endpoint, demonstrating a statistically significant reduction in long episodes – an objective electrographic biomarker for clinical seizure reduction – compared with baseline over the 8-week treatment period.
  • Regeneron (REGN) advances allergy pipeline with two positive phase 3 trials evaluating first-in-class antibody-blockers of cat and birch allergies; both trials met primary and secondary endpoints; combination therapy well-tolerated with no serious adverse events.
  • Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) may have a geography problem with its lung cancer drug ivonescimab. In a study update reported Sunday, patients from North America and Europe treated with the drug saw their lung cancer return and progress faster than patients from China — a discordant result that could complicate Summit’s plans to secure approval of ivonescimab in the U.S. and Europe

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

  • OpenAI believes its spending through 2029 may rise to $115B, which is $80B more than previously expected, Bloomberg reported. The company is in the process of developing its data center server chips and facilities, as well as working to control cloud server rental expenses.
  • EchoStar (SATS) shares soar as has entered into a definitive agreement with SpaceX’s Starlink to sell the company’s AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses for approximately $17B, consisting of up to $8.5B in cash and up to $8.5B in SpaceX stock valued as of the entry into the definitive agreement.
  • Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc. (CCO) entered into a definitive agreement to sell its Spanish business to Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación S.A. for EUR 115M, approximately USD 135M.

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Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

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